SPX Β· S&P 500
Standard & Poors 500
650.34
β² +2.91%
β² 18.39 pts
COMP Β· NASDAQ
Nasdaq Composite
577.18
β² +3.39%
β² 18.92 pts
DJI Β· DOW JONES
Dow Jones Industrial Avg
463.19
β² +2.46%
β² 11.12 pts
RUT Β· RUSSELL 2000
Small Cap Index
248.00
β² +3.50%
β² 8.39 pts
S&P 500 Week
-0.96%
5-day performance
NASDAQ Week
-1.55%
5-day performance
DOW Week
-0.19%
5-day performance
VIX Week
-0.32%
5-day performance
VIX Β· implied volatility index (^VIX)
Market Fear Gauge β Above 20 = elevated Β· Above 30 = extreme fear
25.25
βΌ -17.51%
HIGH VOLATILITY (20-30)
0β12 Calm
12β20 Normal
20β30 High
30+ Fear
Fear & Greed Index
11/100
Extreme Fear
Illustrative sentiment snapshot; volatility benchmark: VIX via FMP (InvestFlow Worker
/market).Current11
β‘ Energy
XLE
π₯ Health Care
XLV
π Consumer Staples
XLP
π‘ Utilities
XLU
βοΈ Materials
XLB
π Real Estate
XLRE
π¦ Financials
XLF
π Industrials
XLI
ποΈ Consumer Disc.
XLY
π» Technology
XLK
π‘ Communication
XLC
π¬ Semiconductors
SOXX
US02Y
2-Year Treasury Yield
3.820%
β
Short-term policy-sensitive yield benchmark.
US10Y β KEY
10-Year Treasury Yield
4.350%
+0.00%
Core long-end benchmark for growth and inflation expectations.
TLT / 30Y
Long Treasury ETF (TLT)
$86.690
-0.10%
TLT ETF (long-duration Treasury fund). Fund price is not the same as the 30-year constant-maturity Treasury yield.
10Yβ2Y SPREAD
Yield Curve (FRED)
0.53%
10Y minus 2Y term spread.
An inverted (negative) spread is often cited as a late-cycle or recession warning signal.
π’οΈ
Brent Crude Oil
$104.80
β² +0.80%
π’οΈ
WTI Crude Oil
$104.80
β² +0.80%
π₯
Gold Spot
$4,699.00
β² +3.10%
π₯
Silver Spot
$75.57
β² +7.09%
π΅
Dollar Index (DXY)
N/A
+0.00%
π±
USD / KRW
1,504.00
βΌ -0.81%
Β₯
USD / JPY
158.72
βΌ -0.62%
βΏ
Bitcoin
$67,974.27
β² +1.85%
π Top Gainers Today
SOXX
Semiconductors
XLK
Technology
XLI
Industrials
XLY
Consumer Disc
XLC
Communication
XLF
Financials
π Biggest Decliners
XLE
Energy
XLU
Utilities
XLP
Consumer Staples
XLRE
Real Estate
XLB
Materials
XLV
Health Care
β οΈ Geopolitics
President Trump announced the U.S. will exit Iran conflict within weeks, sparking broad market rally. Geopolitical risk premiums unwound rapidly as investors priced in reduced Middle East tensions.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
π’ Corporate
Marvell Technology soared after Nvidia announced $2 billion AI partnership investment. Semiconductor sector led market gains with 6.09% rally as AI infrastructure spending accelerates.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
π’ Corporate
OpenAI completed largest private funding round in history at $122 billion valuation. The milestone fuels speculation about potential public offering and validates AI sector investment thesis.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
π’ Corporate
Microsoft suffered through worst quarterly performance since financial crisis amid AI implementation challenges. Investors question Redmond's ability to monetize massive AI infrastructure investments effectively.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
π’ Corporate
Nike shares plunged on disappointing guidance and expected 20% sales decline in China. Consumer discretionary strength elsewhere couldn't offset concerns about Chinese market deterioration.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
π Analysis
Major indices delivered strongest single-day performance since May on Iran war optimism. However, March remained deeply negative month highlighting market volatility and underlying economic concerns.
π° Brief Β· March 31, 2026
FED RATE
Effective Federal Funds
3.64%
Source: FRED Β· MACRO_BASE.FED_RATE
FRED
CPI YoY
Consumer Price Index
β
β
Source: FRED Β· MACRO_BASE.CPI_YOY
Core PCE YoY
PCE ex food & energy
128.39%
Fed-preferred inflation gauge remains elevated (reference)
Source: FRED Β· MACRO_INDEX.INFLATION.CORE_PCE_YOY
UNEMPLOYMENT
US Unemployment Rate
4.4%
Source: FRED Β· MACRO_BASE.UNEMPLOYMENT
FRED
9π§ Today's Market Summary β AI Generated
π INVESTFLOW AI Daily Brief β March 31, 2026
Markets surged broadly on March 31st with the S&P 500 gaining 2.91% to 650.34, led by Trump's signals of U.S. exit from Iran conflict within 2-3 weeks. Technology dominated with 4.24% gains while semiconductors soared 6.09% on Nvidia's $2B Marvell partnership. The VIX collapsed 17.51% to 25.25 as geopolitical risk premiums unwound, though energy declined 1.13% on war de-escalation. Despite the strong daily performance, the S&P 500 remains down 0.96% for the week, highlighting underlying market fragility amid elevated bond yields at 4.35%.
10π
Tomorrow's Watch List
π Economic Events & Catalysts
- Tesla Q1 delivery report expected this week
- March PCE inflation data release Friday
- Q1 earnings season begins next week with major banks
- Iran conflict developments and ceasefire negotiations
- Fed officials speaking schedule for FOMC guidance
π― Technical Levels to Watch
- S&P 500 resistance at 660-665 previous support zone
- S&P 500 support at 635-640 recent consolidation lows
- VIX support at 22-24 pre-rally levels
- Nasdaq 600 psychological resistance level
- 10-year yield resistance at 4.40-4.50% range
πData Sources